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vivionm

Corona Virus

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Waiting in line to get some bread and milk at about 11am this morning at our local Spar - excuse the poor iPhone pic. The queue went around the corner behind me. They had chalk-marked standing spots about 1m apart. Took about 30 minutes to get inside the store which was relatively well stocked but my fear is that this won't be the case for much longer since much of SA's workforce in food production won't be able to get to work as the taxi minibus system has also shut itself down. Basically the taxi bosses are saying that they can't take only 7 passengers at a time (which is the government regulation under the state of disaster), so they just aren't running. My wife's colleague who lives in the biggest township of Durban couldn't get to work on Friday because of this.

 

So, many people who aren't sick are effectively stranded in the townships. They are prevented from going to work and many of them don't understand why. There is also a lot of anti-European sentiment being expressed online right now, which worries me. A lot. Civil unrest could become a reality, especially if food becomes scarce. 

 

I was just flicking through some news channels and caught a talking head conference on CNN (which I don't watch ordinarily). The host, who's name I can't remember, was interviewing amongst others, an American physician who has apparently ruffled many feathers with his suggested approach to controlling the spread by isolating and protecting the vulnerable instead of the entire country. I have to agree with him. You simply can't shut down entire economies like this. It is way more dangerous to do so than covid-19 in my opinion. I understand that the health care systems are not coping, but this is where we need to switch up our human resources. Instead of confining able bodied, capable people in their homes, put them to work in helping to deal with policing gatherings, treating the ill, making provisions in the form of beds and equipment, etc. We are fighting a war and locking down is not dissimilar to holding your breath in the hope that you can cure cancer. 

 

IMG_2643.JPG

 

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New York is stacking dead bodies in refrigerated containers.

Mardi Gras has generated a new epicenter.

This thing is dangerous.

Estimated dead in the US is pegged at somewhere between 100,000 and 200,000 and that's with current efforts to curtail movement.

 

The virus doesn't care where you were born, the color you skin is, how old you are, or how much money you have.

 

However, maybe this is the way to "fix stupid" -- just wish there would not be too much "collateral damage."

 

Worst part is this will devastate the world's health care systems.

There are PPE shortages everywhere.

Kill all the doctors and nurses and what will you do when you have a non-virus medical emergency like an appendix bursting?

I guess we'll get some leaches and do a blood letting.......

 

 


Hot bodies (D800E, D810, D4, D500) and plenty of glass, but always lusting for more.

 

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Interesting, Fred. Just not practical in heavily populated areas with poor, uneducated people who are distrustful of outside authority. We are already seeing resistance to the lockdown in many areas. I can see the end of one of the freeways that leads into the city and there are still lots of vehicles moving along there, day and night. There are definitely not that many people working in essential services in my opinion. At least not all in the same place, there are no food factories or warehouses in the city centre. 

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4 hours ago, Dallas said:

Interesting, Fred. Just not practical in heavily populated areas with poor, uneducated people who are distrustful of outside authority. We are already seeing resistance to the lockdown in many areas. I can see the end of one of the freeways that leads into the city and there are still lots of vehicles moving along there, day and night. There are definitely not that many people working in essential services in my opinion. At least not all in the same place, there are no food factories or warehouses in the city centre. 

It’s not just the ‘poor, uneducated’ who are causing problems in these times.  Locally, the biggest hotspots are some of the wealthiest suburbs.  There are also a lot of young, well educated people who are under the impression that this is an old person’s problem as evidenced by the gatherings on beaches and in parks.

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I live in the Washington DC metropolitan region in the USA.

 

Maryland, Virginia, Washington DC, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia have issued stay-at-home orders. Some 30 states in all have issued this order which affects 75% of our 320 million population at present. Our nation's top doctors are anticipating we have not hit our peak and it could be weeks before we do so. There are lots of models out there and all of them cover different scenarios .. from ignoring social distancing to adhering to it and it being effective.

 

I am fortunate that I am able to work by day job from home as are many where I work. We do have researchers at the national laboratory where I work who had to shut down experiments. How this impacts their science remains to be seen. Some may be able to pick back up where they left off while others may have to start over and effectively lost what ever progress they made in what ever trials they were running.

 

I hope all of you are safe and sound and have plenty of food and family to keep you comfortable and happy while we wait this out.

 

 

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Day 7 here. Today I have a small product photography job I need to finish for a client who dropped off her merch on the last day of free movement. Then I will have to go and visit the bank to do some  adjusting of things... 🙄

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Day 8: people are flouting the lockdown regulations. More cars on the roads, vagrants and homeless people everywhere in the suburbs. A hospital less than 1km from my front door has had 11 healthcare workers test positive after 3 died of covid-19 in the past 72 hours. 

 

https://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/coronavirus-claims-3-at-st-augustines-hospital-in-durban-20200403

 

:( 

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This is scary Dallas. Here in my area we are seeing it spread in the senior care facilities. One facility had around 100 residents and most of them tested positive as did several care givers there. More than a dozen were sent to hospitals and some died. There is a shortage of PPE (personal protective equipment) for 1st line responders in hospitals. Some are being told to re-use their N95 (medical grade) masks. We haven't enough ventilators. Some who have survived and recovered have spent 2 weeks on a ventilator in a hospital under medically induced comas while they weathered a fever and severe respiratory issues.

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Day 9. Woke up at a more respectable hour this morning to the sound of rain. April has brought with it typically cooler weather and I can feel that my body is fighting off the onset of sinusitis (which I get whenever the seasons change). None of my clients paid me for the work I did last month. No work this month until at least the 17th. When the lockdown ends I'll be making some comeback plans by running specials on my entire digital offering, ranging from website design to photography and whatever else I normally do.

 

I can see that there is going to be a concerted move to e-commerce here in SA once this is over. We are quite far behind the rest of the world as far as that goes, so with my skillset I should be able to offer small to medium sized businesses a very good solution including the setup of the web stores, hosting, photography for their products and some SEO consulting. It's going to take time, but the time is right to charge at this opportunity full tilt. 

 

The wife and I just watched Manchester By The Sea after giving up on Drunk Parents with Alec Baldwin and Selma Hayek about 15 minutes in. I don't know who produces "comedies" in Hollywood these days, but they need a good slapping around the ears. We both enjoyed Manchester By The Sea. It's odd, I have never seen a cheerful movie set in Massachusetts. Is there one? 

 

I'm going to have to cut the grass this week since our gardener isn't coming to work. That should be fun. I haven't cut any grass since about 2003. 

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Day 14. The past two days I have been feeling a bit stressed and that has taken its toll on my sleep patterns, seeing me wake up at about 3am on both mornings for no apparent reason. 

 

One of the biggest problems we have in our city is homelessness, particularly amongst refugees who come here trying to escape turmoil in their own countries, only to find that the grass is not much greener on the other side. A lot of them end up on the streets, addicted to a drug known as "whoonga". There have been hundreds of them living under a bridge not far from where I live. They beg at traffic lights, steal, etc. Now with limited traffic and public prey to rob these addicts are becoming desperate and are making their way through the nearby suburbs looking for houses to rob. Our local Whatsapp crime alert group has been awash with reports of fence-hoppers and other incidents. It eventually you of your peace of mind, I guess. 

 

The private hospital I mentioned in a previous post has now been closed by authorities as 66 people have tested positive there, mostly healthcare workers. We expect that the 21 day national lockdown will probably be extended. If that happens the economic costs will be devastating for most South Africans, myself included. :( 

 

I hope that things are as well as can be with our Fotozones family at this time. 

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On 05/04/2020 at 01:05, Dallas said:

I can see that there is going to be a concerted move to e-commerce here in SA once this is over. We are quite far behind the rest of the world as far as that goes, so with my skillset I should be able to offer small to medium sized businesses a very good solution including the setup of the web stores, hosting, photography for their products and some SEO consulting. It's going to take time, but the time is right to charge at this opportunity full tilt. 

 

 

You should start chasing such clients now - they are probably in a similar position, wondering how they can get back to work.  They will probably welcome the opportunity to start moving stock again through an online store.  Waiting until  this all ends will be too late.

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Unfortunately the "brains" behind the government here have strictly limited only foodstuffs to be sold during lockdown. No alcohol or even cigarettes may be sold. The chief nincompoop in government last night announced a further 2 weeks to be added to the lockdown, taking us to end of April (or as somebody jokingly mentioned elsewhere, the 61st of March). Honestly, I don't know what they think this is going to achieve other than the complete and total collapse of our economy. When that happens catching coronavirus will be the least of our worries. 

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The impact on health care workers will be the most devastating - they don't grow on trees.

You local hospital is already overrun and might soon be offline.....why do you think it's stupid to stop the spread?

 

Our governments might be stupid, but don't you be too! 

Not staying home and doing our best to stop this virus is beyond stupid.

We are in lock down until May - what makes SA special that 2 weeks is plenty?

 

And Dallas has a gardener?   What luxury!

 


Hot bodies (D800E, D810, D4, D500) and plenty of glass, but always lusting for more.

 

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41 minutes ago, fredazinger said:

The impact on health care workers will be the most devastating - they don't grow on trees.

You local hospital is already overrun and might soon be offline.....why do you think it's stupid to stop the spread?

 

Our governments might be stupid, but don't you be too! 

Not staying home and doing our best to stop this virus is beyond stupid.

We are in lock down until May - what makes SA special that 2 weeks is plenty?

 

And Dallas has a gardener?   What luxury!

 

 

The gardener comes with the property I rent. He works for the landlords who pay him, not me.

 

Fred, your knowledge of the economic situation here is inadequate. This country cannot afford to shut down its economy for 5 weeks. You are also living in dreamland if you think that this lockdown will stop the spread of this virus in Africa. It will not. I have already explained why in other posts. 

 

However I'll spell out what will happen if we don't return to at least partial economic activity here immediately: 

 

- millions of people will not be able to pay rent or mortgages

- they will not be able to buy food because they will not have money for it

- companies will not be able to pay salaries for those who have not already been laid off 

- without economic activity the already struggling revenue collectors will not be able to collect taxes

- without the taxes all government employees will not be paid (including the healthcare workers)

 

Do I need to continue? Most people in this country do not enjoy the luxury of accumulated and accessible savings. They live hand-to-mouth, month-to-month. Right now the only things you are allowed to buy in SA are foodstuffs. We don't have Amazon delivering whatever the hell we want to our door because that is forbidden under the regulations. We are currently living in a police state. Don't preach to me about luxuries, brother. 

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No politics here, please!

 

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4 minutes ago, vivionm said:

No politics here, please!

 

 

You're right. Sorry, I am getting a bit worked up about this all. 

 

Let's resume normal programming. 

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The current situation is stressful for everybody.

But social distancing, rigorous checking of people for the infection, contact tracing and personal hygiene will minimise the spread of the virus and hopefully prevent health services being overwhelmed.

It's not a question of stopping the spread. It's a question of slowing it - "flattening the curve", so that infrastructure is not swamped and loss of life is minimised.

This situation will be with us for some time yet, possibly months.

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17 minutes ago, vivionm said:

The current situation is stressful for everybody.

But social distancing, rigorous checking of people for the infection, contact tracing and personal hygiene will minimise the spread of the virus and hopefully prevent health services being overwhelmed.

It's not a question of stopping the spread. It's a question of slowing it - "flattening the curve", so that infrastructure is not swamped and loss of life is minimised.

This situation will be with us for some time yet, possibly months.

 

Yes, responsible citizens here are doing that anyway, but the lockdown regulations are extremely draconian. We aren't allowed out at all, even to walk a dog or go for a run, only to buy groceries. If they were to relax the regulations to at least allow online enabled businesses to process orders and courier companies to operate, it will stop the inevitable collapse of the economy. We simply cannot go on like this for 5 weeks. The effect will be even more catastrophic and I fear may result in very unwanted outcomes, both socially and politically. I hope I am wrong. :( 

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Paddington Station today, the UK's 8th busiest railway station with over 38 million entries and exits last year. iPhone XS.

20200410_Paddington_0906.jpg

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13 hours ago, Anthony said:

Paddington Station today, the UK's 8th busiest railway station with over 38 million entries and exits last year. iPhone XS.

20200410_Paddington_0906.jpg

How amazing that is.

I have been there many times.

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Does this count as illegal socialising!

 

IMG-20200411-WA0001.jpeg.ef1581e367ab65523e0f9e3a85c19eff.jpeg

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Mike Gorman

 

Nikon Z7 - Nikkor Z 14-30, 24-70, 35, 50, 85, FTZ adapter 

GX8 - Panasonic 20, 25

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It would seem so ...

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Another funny.

48D657D0-ECCF-4F7A-A745-55BB27D93A61.jpeg.5cb072afd0370898a21f1ac65c52aabf.jpeg


Mike Gorman

 

Nikon Z7 - Nikkor Z 14-30, 24-70, 35, 50, 85, FTZ adapter 

GX8 - Panasonic 20, 25

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